Predictions, priced in probabilities.
Quantitative models for pro and college sports built with the same rigor as our financial models, and the same transparency on performance. No lock picks. Just probability distributions and the track record behind them.
Products
Three products. One math.
Machine Learning
Free model probabilities by sport and market, published directly from our pipeline. The free board stays separate from paid Line Movement Picks.
View models →02 / DataPro & College Odds Data
Historical odds archive across major sportsbooks, pre-cleaned and analysis-ready. Sold as one-time downloads with free samples so you can verify fit before buying.
Shop odds data ↗03 / PaidLine Movement Picks
Scottfree Basic unlocks the paid app workflow: daily Line Movement Picks, movement context, account tools, and higher API limits. Premium adds MCP and CLI access.
Compare plans →Method
How we model.
The decisions behind the curves.
Gradient-boosted trees
XGBoost and LightGBM for matchup outcomes.
Calibrated probabilities
Brier score and log-loss, not accuracy theater.
Walk-forward validation
No leakage from future slates. Every test set is held strictly forward.
Open-source pipeline
Same AlphaPy framework we release publicly. The models you read about are the models we run.
Audience
Built for sharps, props traders, and researchers.
Not for entertainment bettors looking for picks.